Monday, October 31, 2016 - Sometimes, things may not be as bad as they seem,
at least on paper.
As the Presidential debate
entered into the home stretch with yet another unanticipated twist, last week
has shown that the U.S. economy experienced mostly better-than-expected
corporate earnings and even more to the surprise of investors, a .04% higher tick
than consensus on the GDP growth (2.9% versus consensus of 2.5%). The surprise comes
in welcoming fashion as concerns over U.S. growth have plagued markets for
quite some time.
We also saw that American
consumers are helping to drive the GDP to its highest number in 2 years. That
is something that may make consumer discretionary ETFs like Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index
ETF (FDIS) or Consumer Discretionary
Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY), look more attractive in the coming months.
Although there was some good
news for U.S. equities this week, not all reported great earnings which is why
XLY and FDIS did not bode as well as one would think with the positive GDP news
on Friday. Amazon was just above $818 a share on October 27th before
they reported earnings after the bell, but, a miss in earnings sent the stock
down to just above $776 by the close of the market on Friday. That hurt FDIS
and XLY which both hold Amazon (AMZN) as their highest positions in the ETFs at
11.38% and 13.99% respectively, according to ETF Global’s constituent data
reports.
Switching gears, health
care ETFs dominated the ETFG Quant Movers this week as 4 of the 8 top gainers
were all related to that industry. Of those health care ETFs, the Van Eck Vectors Pharmaceutical ETF (PPH) was
the biggest gainer moving its score up to 65.34 with a 13.76 positive change.
PPH carries an 8 diamond ETFG reward and has an overall “B” grade in the ETFG
Quant Model.
With the final week of the
Presidential election upon us and a reopening of the Clinton email
investigation, this week sets up to be one for the ages.
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Global Perspectives!
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