Monday, January 30, 2017 - Ever since Franklin D.
Roosevelt assumed his role as the 32nd President of the United States in March
of 1933, each subsequent presidency has often been defined and judged by the
actions they take during their first 100 days in office. FDR inherited a nation
that was mired in the depths of the Great Depression. Upon assuming office, FDR
immediately used the powers of the presidency to undo certain policies of his
predecessor and steer the country into a new direction. 15 landmark bills were
passed during FDR's first 100 days that laid the groundwork for his entire
presidency. While FDR's circumstances were unique, the legacy of the first 100
days has endured, as a period for a new president to take swift and decisive
actions to reshape the country according to his or her vision. This transition
period is now often regarded as a measure of presidential effectiveness and a
barometer of the policy direction the country will undergo with each new
president.
Accordingly, the first week of Trump's presidency has
been subject to intense scrutiny. Similar to FDR, albeit for different reasons,
Trump has taken office during a period of widespread uncertainty. This
uncertainty has kept the markets on edge since November's election, as
investors have awaited a clear policy direction from our new administration.
The uncertainty that accompanied the Trump administration began to abate this
week, during which Trump acted on several of his campaign pledges on trade,
regulation, immigration and foreign policy. As the priorities of Trump's
administration have begun to emerge, investors are now assessing the areas of
the economy that appear poised to benefit from our new President.
The major benchmarks all registered new highs thanks to last
week's emerging policy clarity, positive earnings reports, and continued hope
for faster economic growth. Most notably, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
broke through 20,000 milestone for the first time in its 120 year history. Not
surprisingly, the Dow's index-tracking counterpart, the SPDR Dow Jones
Industrial Average ETF (DIA), was among the top asset-gathering funds for
the week, attracting nearly $595M in inflows.
Trump's early executive actions indicate that
deregulation and infrastructure spending will be priorities of his administration.
This fueled optimism among investors for related sector and industry funds
deemed to benefit from these policy shifts, such as the Materials Select
Sector SPDR (XLB) and ALPS Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP). XLB and AMLP rose
3.4% and 3.5% respectively for the week.
Our Quant Movers list paints a similar picture,
where the perceived winners and losers of the Trump rally have registered the
largest movements. IJR, the iShares Core S&P Small Cap ETF, is
currently the top rated fund according to our Quant model. This conforms to the
prevailing sentiment that domestically focused small-cap companies will prosper
under Trump's protectionist policies and relaxation of regulations. Similarly,
our top two Quant movers on the week are from the financial sector, whose
prospects appear bright under Trump's pro-growth, anti-regulatory policy
shifts. The Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) and iShares U.S.
Broker-Dealers ETF (IAI) saw large rises in their behavioral scores amid
this improving sentiment and ended the week as our top Quant gainers.
Conversely, sentiment continued to sour on defensive sectors, like utilities,
with the Utilities Selector Sector SPDR (XLU) experiencing the largest
drop in our Quant behavioral score.
As the Trump administration's priorities continue to
crystallize during his first 100 days, so will investors' understanding of how
to operate and where they should consider deploying capital under our new
president.
Thank you for Reading ETF Global Perspectives!
ETFG 21 Day Free
Trial: https://www.etfg.com/signup/quick
_____________________________________________________________
Assumptions, opinions and
estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are
subject to change without notice. ETF
Global LLC (“ETFG”) and its affiliates and any third-party providers, as well
as their directors, officers, shareholders, employees or agents (collectively
ETFG Parties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, adequacy or
timeliness of any information, including ratings and rankings and are not
responsible for errors and omissions or for the results obtained from the use
of such information and ETFG Parties shall have no liability for any errors,
omissions, or interruptions therein, regardless of the cause, or for the
results obtained from the use of such information. ETFG PARTIES DISCLAIM ANY
AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO ANY
WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, SUITABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE
OR USE. In no event shall ETFG Parties
be liable to any party for any direct, indirect, incidental, exemplary,
compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses,
legal fees, or losses (including, without limitation, lost income or lost
profits and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of the information
contained in this document even if advised of the possibility of such damages.
ETFG ratings and rankings are
statements of opinion as of the date they are expressed and not statements of
fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or to make
any investment decisions. ETFG ratings and rankings should not be relied on
when making any investment or other business decision. ETFG’s opinions and analyses do not address
the suitability of any security. ETFG
does not act as a fiduciary or an investment advisor. While ETFG has obtained information from
sources they believe to be reliable, ETFG does not perform an audit or
undertake any duty of due diligence or independent verification of any
information it receives.
This material is not intended
as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other
financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned
herein may not be suitable for all investors.
Any opinions expressed herein are given in good faith, are subject to
change without notice, and are only correct as of the stated date of their
issue. Prices, values, or income from
any securities or investments mentioned in this report may fall against the
interests of the investor and the investor may get back less than the amount
invested. Where an investment is
described as being likely to yield income, please note that the amount of
income that the investor will receive from such an investment may
fluctuate. Where an investment or
security is denominated in a different currency to the investor's currency of
reference, changes in rates of exchange may have an adverse effect on the
value, price or income of or from that investment to the investor.