Every day, one equity ETF gets the 10 Green Diamond Reward Rating
as the fund with the single best prospects for the next few months. For the last few months it has mostly been the PowerShares
Dynamic OTC Portfolio Fund (PWO). We have written about it extensively this
year as its ratings and performance have commanded attention. It got its first 10 Green Diamond Reward Rating
on January 4th and is up 17.88% compared to the S&P 500’s 10.88%
rise since then.
We wrote about it then and again on April 5th
explaining how its smart beta selection process changes the portfolio every
quarter, May’s reconstitution has maintained
the top three sectors in info tech, consumer discretionary and health care with
the first two at lower weights than the NASDAQ 100. The biggest difference from that benchmark is
the absence of Apple from PWO’s constituents which tend to be lower market caps
although large cap Cisco Systems occupies more than 3% of AUM.
On April 12th we compared its technical scores to SPY’s which has also led the ranks
this year, and on May 3rd we wrote about PWO’s low liquidity
advising to use limit orders. Its constituents
are plenty liquid which ultimately determines an ETF’s liquidity so don’t be scared
off by its low trading volume. Then on May
15th we reviewed these posts and added commentary on the fund’s Red Diamond
Risk Rating, lower than average at 3.75 today.
You can review any of those posts but there is one topic we have not
covered yet.
PWO has been the 10 Green Diamond fund every day except one since
May 3rd, an unprecedented streak since our inception last July. For many of those days it has dominated the
model so much that there have been no 9 Green Diamond funds, a typical distribution
would see about 15. That means that no
other fund came close in the algorithm’s calculations. IYW gets a 9.27 Reward Rating
today but it is the only 9.
We have said we like to write about PWO since it has performed so
well and we also like to
write about smart beta because it is at the heart of ETF Globalsm. However, the nature of
quantitative analysis is that our personal fondness has nothing to do with the
scores and ratings which are free of any human emotion. Today’s
volatile world markets make that an even more powerful and important selection
method.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.