In an interview with a
British newspaper on the eve of another European summit, French President
Hollande said "we are near, very near, to an end to the eurozone crisis.” Quant still likes selected European funds
such as the iShares MSCI France and Spain
Index Funds (EWQ and EWP) tied at 8th place but the pan European SPDR
DJ EURO STOXX 50 Fund (FEZ) dropped 52 positions into 60th place. Maybe President Hollande is whistling past
the graveyard or maybe he’s right and an end to that crisis will be good for the
USA because the noticeable movers in Quant today are three S&P 500 funds. That index is the only one tracked by three
ETFs and they are all in today’s top 10. The iShares (IVV), SPDR (SPY) and
Vanguard (VOO) funds rank in 3rd, 7th and 8th
place respectively. All three from large
established sponsors have solid Quality Scores in the 90s and middling Global
Theme scores. Slight differences appear
in the Fundamental Scores which are attributable to the different lifetimes of
each as Quant analyses these metrics with a long term context. The big differences come in the Sentiment
category where Vanguard’s VOO has lower Short Interest and Put/Call scores. All three do an excellent job of tracking
their index so take these different Sentiment scores with a grain of salt, tight
tracking will likely outweigh any short covering among the three. The three cousins moved into the upper ranks
driven by improving Technical scores, in the low 70s across the board, with differences
again attributable to different lifespans.
As the weakest US earnings season since the Great Recession unfolds it
will be interesting to see if the gains can hold. The group has been ranking highly recently so
it may be that the bad earnings are priced in and the market is looking towards
improvement in coming quarters. Or it
could be that the S&P 500 is made up of those large US multinationals that benefit
from a weak dollar, one of Quant’s consistent messages since the QE3
announcement. We simply report the data
and will let the debate unfold without moderation, please don’t fight about it.
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