On
Monday we reminded you that Quant will not keep you out of a falling market, it
is designed to keep you out of the worst parts of one over the intermediate
term. Yesterday’s leaders
were not immune to the selloff losing 1.91% on average for the top 25 which is
worse than the 1.44% drop in the S&P500. However, if you have been reading and
watching the algorithm’s output you know that China has been Quant’s favorite
for quite a while. Looking
at the charts on the tear sheets, you will see the two high ranking China
funds, FXI and GXC are
still trading near their recent highs. They
got sucked into yesterday’s selling but have been largely immune from the 4%
selloff in the S&P 500 over the past month. The Europe funds we have been writing
about, France’s EWQ and Spain’s EWP, are also
still trading above their 50 day moving averages as is the pan European
FEZ. Quant is designed to outperform over the
intermediate term even if it may not on a given day.
That said, Quant's leaders today include the Vanguard Information
Technology Sector Fund (VGT) in second place and the SPDR S&P Metals and Mining
Fund (XME)
in third. Yesterday we saw
that latter fund to be more economically sensitive than the gold miners fund
with which it is often grouped. We
also see emerging markets scoring well with the iShares MSCI Emerging Index
Fund (EEM)
moving up 14 places into the 5th position
on Quant’s relative rankings. In
what could be a telling message the Vanguard Growth Fund (VUG) moved up
34 positions into 13th place
as the iShares S&P 500 Value Index Fund (IVE) moved
down 14 places to Quant’s 23rd position. Both
moves were largely attributable to the more volatile Sentiment scores but Quant
seems to be looking at the selloff
opportunistically rather than fearfully. But again, it is not a short term
trading algorithm so we will see if this message plays out over coming days.
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