As Santa gets his reindeer in game
day shape someone got a message to Obama and Boehner that they have yet to get
on his nice list. Obama now looks
willing to raise the millionaire/billionaire threshold to $400k and Boehner
seems ready to include a debt limit increase with any fiscal cliff deal,
sparing us all another round of silly Treasury default fears. When these kids play nicely the markets take
note, the Dow rose over 100 points yesterday and interest rates actually rose a
bit – someone bring Bernanke some figgy pudding right now.
Quant isn't worried about higher
US rates as 7 of today’s top 10 are US funds.
All 7 are familiar to those top ranks recently led by the SPDR Industrial Select Sector Fund (XLI) in 2nd place
followed by the SPDR S&P 500 Fund (SPY) and the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas
Exploration & Production Fund (XOP) tied at 3rd. Technology is also represented on that list
with the iShares Dow Jones U.S. Technology Index Fund (IYW) in 7th
and the tech heavy Powershares QQQ Trust (QQQ) in 10th place. Quant still likes that Powershares Dynamic MagniQuant
Fund (PIQ) in 8th place today, down from 3 days at 1st
place. It has lagged slightly since
gaining the top 10 earlier this month so it is still buyable. Rounding out the US group is the iShares S&P
500 Value Index Fund (IVE) in 9th place, its second day in the top
10 after spending a couple of weeks closer to 50th place, but even
those lower ranked funds tend to outperform as IVE has.
The other three names in today’s top 10 are the two China funds
that have been ruling Quant all fall. A
quick look at the charts for 1st place GXC and 5th place
FXI shows why, they have blown the doors off Santa’s sleigh. Almost as good has been the iShares MSCI
Turkey Investable Market Index Fund (TUR) up almost 13% since we first mentioned
it as an up and comer on October 12th, a period in which the S&P
500 was flat. Turkey has seen debt
upgrades since then as fiscal reforms are lowering their national debt to GDP
ratio. If that’s not a message for our
kids in DC what is? The next few weeks
will show if the Obama/Boehner happy talk is real or just sugar plum dreams, in
the meantime, Quant likes the US market.
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