We spend a lot of time in this
space on Quant’s top 10 rankers but we have found the top 100 actually have a very
good record of beating the market, so today we look throughout those broader ranks
to help with your year end shopping list.
Focusing on the ten S&P equity sectors, we see 12 Technology funds
in the top 100 today led by the iShares Dow Jones U.S.
Technology Index Fund (IYW) in 7th place. There are three other technology funds in the
top 25 with SOXX in 12th place, IGM in 19th, VGT in 20th
and QTEC in 21st place today.
That clearly makes Technology Quant’s favorite sector with 12 out of 31
funds in the top 100 ranks. Industrials
are the second most represented sector with 8 out of 22 funds making the list
led by SDPR’s Industrial Select Sector Fund (XLI) staying in the top 10 at 4th
place. Quant’s third favorite sector
today is Energy with 7 out of 40 funds in the top 100. The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration
& Production Fund (XOP) leads that sector in 17th place this
morning, down a few places over recent days but still consistently scoring well. The market expects Chairman Bernanke to throw
more money out of his helicopter later today and that helps the Basic Materials
sector that is seen as an inflation hedge. 5 out of that sector’s 40 funds are in the top
100 today but none make the top 25, XLB gets the highest rank at 31st
place, around where it has been for a couple of months now. Looking at the less favored sectors, Quant
must know that Santa hasn't gotten around to our kids’ lists yet, the Consumer
Discretionary sector only has 1 out of 24 funds in today’s top 100 with the SPDR
S&P Retail Fund (XRT) in 97th place. Our sweet little 4 year old with the sore
throat says all he wants for Christmas is healthy snacks which fall under the Consumer
Staples sector. Only 1 out of those 13
funds makes the top 100 and that is the SPDR Consumer Staples Select Sector Fund
(XLP). That one holds his favorite
providers of those healthy snacks, Kraft Foods who owns Oscar Meyer hot dogs
and HJ Heinz for the ketchup. President
Obama’s favorite sector is Health Care but only 1 out 25 funds in that group
make the top 100, another SDPR in XLV at 59th place. Despite all the money falling from Bernanke’s
helicopter, none of the 38 Financial sector funds make the top 100, the closest
is IXG in 288th place.
However, that liquidity looks like it will keep us out of a recession as
those macro bomb shelters, Telecoms and Utilities, are also absent from today’s
top 100. Of the 13 Utilities funds, the highest
ranking is PSCU in 240th place today, and the highest ranking of the
8 Telcomm funds is IXP a tad higher at 207th. Reading this distribution we are left to conclude
that Quant isn't too worried about the fiscal cliff although the upward creep
in risk ratings we have seen over recent weeks has reversed a little bit. The top 10 have an average risk score of 4.46
today, higher than the top 100 average of 4.09 but lower than the all equity
fund average of 4.8. We hope the above
helps with your shopping list, now we need to go out and get some discretionary
consumables for our kids’ stockings.
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