We have written extensively about the average Red Diamond Risk
Rating of the top 10 funds recently coming in below 4. That number is now at a still low 4.2 as
growth and small cap funds comprise more of today’s elite ranks. The lowest Risk Rating among the top 10 is
3.19 and belongs to the Powershares Buyback Achievers Fund (PKW). You can read more about the fund in our March
6th post but today we will use it to explain how our Risk Ratings
are compiled. Under the Analytics button
the first selection is the ETFGsm Red Diamond Risk
Rating page listing our various risk scores for all exchange traded
products.
You will notice the highest Risk Ratings skew towards the leveraged
and inverse products but we can focus on PKW by entering its ticker in the search
box above the sortable headers. Now we
see its 3.19 Risk Rating highlighted in Red with its six sub categories to the
right (their weightings are at the bottom).
Each of these sub scores is a proprietary compilation of various
industry standard metrics. PKW’s 3.3
Volatility score includes our ETFGsm Implied Volatility measure
in addition to other metrics to help differentiate good and bad volatility because
we don’t want to penalize good performance. Similar thoughts drive our Deviation
score which also includes various industry metrics. Country risk comes out of
our Quant model and is an example of how our Diamond Ratings differentiate
metrics that Quant integrates. Structure
is another of those Quality metrics from Quant that become part of the Red
Diamond Risk calculation. It looks at the
diversification and average weights within a fund, its use of derivatives and its
sponsoring firm. Liquidity also borrows
from Quant where we look at bid/ask spreads and average volume but we add a
measure for inclusion on the ETFGsm Liquidation Watch List
which warns of the ultimate liquidity event.
Finally, our Efficiency score addresses tracking error and expense ratios.
Investors not only consider the return an ETF may provide but also
the risk they undertake in holding it.
Our Green
Diamond Reward Ratings have done an excellent job predicting those funds
that have performed best but our Red Diamond Risk Ratings are merely reflective
of a given product’s historical attributes.
They are compiled and change daily although they tend to be more durable
than the Reward Ratings which change with the market’s winds. If you think the market has more to run you
might want to look for higher volatility products which is a reason why we
break out the sub scores. ETFGsm doesn't tell you what to do, we give you easy to use tools to make better decisions
for yourself.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.