We often say our models will not pick all the winners, some
sectors or regions that do not score well can rally anyway. One such sector this year has been financials
but we have been glad in recent days to see the PowerShares KBW Insurance Portfolio Fund (KBWI) ranking as high as
today’s 5th place. Glad to
have a financial fund in our elite ranks and glad to see that KBW name living
on after its acquisition by Stifel Financial, another good guy firm. The fund jumped from 106th place
to 7th last Friday and we were not sure if it was a mistake. Three days holding the 10 Green Diamond
distinction allayed that concern and it still gets an impressive 9.69 Green
Diamond Reward Rating today.
Many
financial funds are not scoring well in our models because despite recent
outperformance, their charts still bear the bruises of the 2008 crash, as do
their fundamental metrics. KBWI’s young
year and a half age unburdens it from those comparisons. That jump last Friday is something that happens
during earnings season as our models pick up and process the results, KBWI had
a composite P/E over 13 before earnings season and it is less than 10 now. Such a big drop, and the fund’s short life,
drove Quant’s PE and PB scores from 45.6 to 97 in each case last Friday where
they remain today. Technical scores were
already high as its mountain chart has yet to see a meaningful valley but
sentiment scores are restrained by the lack of options and low trading
volume. That low volume need not be a
worry as the 24 constituents you can see on its tear sheet are plenty liquid, if
you need to buy a block your PowerShares representative should be able to
arrange appropriate liquidity.
Although some
risk measures go into the high 72.5 Quant score, the separate Red Diamond Risk
model rates KBWI at 6.41, among the highest 13% of all equity ETFs. That is driven by its 9.29 deviation and 8.54
liquidity scores, where the former has been upwardly biased. So if you are bullish the high risk is the favorable
kind but if you are bearish this may not be the fund to outperform a falling
market. That is for you to decide, we are
here to support that decision and since the suits don’t give us good enough spell
check let us correct yesterday’s error, the email is support@etfg.com.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.