Buongiorno! As much of
Europe looks like Venice we see the iShares MSCI Italy Index Fund (EWI) in 10th
place, its highest position since last summer and running through the ranks like
a Ferrari. Occupying deep waters just a couple of weeks ago, the
fund has achieved a 70.4 Quant Score today jumping more than 15 points in 10
days thanks to its 80.9 Behavioral Score.
A move like that is usually attributable to a spike in option activity
and while its put/call score is very elevated at 95.8, so are its other
sentiment indicators. The technical
score on this prima donna has caught our eye though as it has improved from
24.4 last month to today’s 71.1.
You don’t have to know about Fibonacci to appreciate EWI’s chart. Matching its 2009 low below $10 per share
last summer, the fund moved up to almost $15 in January then gave back about
60% of that move to early April’s low of 11.59.
Getting back up to yesterday’s close of 13.46 has boosted its short and
intermediate term technical scores into the 70s and its long term score up to a
decent 65.8. Its current price is now
above what bears could have seen as a left shoulder from last September. Quant’s technical scores are its most complex
algorithms calculating several different relative strength and momentum
indicators in each time frame. The
strength in January also saw good technical scores that turned down quickly in early February as the fund began its 20% correction. Rallying almost 18% from the April low still leaves
plenty of room to run to that January high which is still less than half of its
$36 all time high at 2007’s double top.
EWI’s 26 holdings have three quarters of AUM concentrated in financials,
industrials and energy companies that combine to give it a respectable 63.2
Fundamental Score contributing to its 8.66 Green Diamond Reward Rating. It’s 4.18 Red Diamond Risk Rating is higher than
most top rankers that average below 4 again but is lower than today’s all equity
ETF average of 4.53. As you paint your masterpiece
portfolios, let Quant be your Gondolier through the overly liquefied world
markets and consider EWI as a tasty espresso on this lovely primavera day that
would inspire Botticelli. Grazie e arrivederci.
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