New-to-Market: This featured blog
series highlights ETFs that have recently gone public and reflect those
strategies currently most in-demand by investors. Our goal is to bring you timely insights on
the most cutting-edge investment strategies that have recently embraced the ETF
structure and may be too early to be eligible for ETFG Risk & Reward Ratings* – we hope you enjoy this series.
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In continuing our “New to Market” series of featured
posts, we take a deep dive into the world of value investing strategies. By
focusing on the highest yielding securities within a particular benchmark,
investors are likely to find those stocks that have lagged the broader index
for an extended period with the assumption that mean reversion will lead to
relative out-performance in the near future. Filtering the "Alpha Seeking" universe via the ETFG Scanner, we find one deep
value fund that not only combines the ease of investing within an ETF and actively
managed value investing strategies, but also top-notch performance in its category thus
far in 2015 - DVP.
The fund is the new TWM Deep Value Fund ETF (DVP), which
was launched late in the 3rd quarter of 2014 and has already gotten
off to an impressive start in 2015; up 3.17% YTD putting in the top percentile
of its category (Large Value) and well ahead of the .47% gain registered by the
S&P 500 from which it draws its components.
The fund’s benchmark is the TWM Deep Value Index which draws 20 stocks
from the S&P 500 chosen using a simple rules-based methodology that would be
familiar to value gurus like Benjamin Graham although not as strict as his
“cigar butts” policies.
Companies
included in the index must have positive earnings, generate free cash flow and
currently pay a dividend. According to
the fund’s prospectus, once the list has been derived, the fund will use a
weighting system that re-sorts the individual stocks based on different
valuation metrics such as FCF, EBITDA and enterprise valuation with the 10 most
‘undervalued’ securities getting 60% of the weighting (7.5% in the first five,
4.5% in the next five) and the bottom 10 getting 4% each. The most undervalued 10 stocks are generally
held for a whole year while the other 10 stocks are re-evaluated and reweighted
quarterly.
Like the ALPS Sector Dividend Dogs (SDOG), the fund owes
a lot of its success in 2015 to the telecommunications sector where the
acquisition of land-line customers among other assets from Verizon has pushed Frontier
Communications Corp (FTR) up 23.84% YTD and up over 95% in the last year. With over 50 holdings, SDOG’s current
allocation to FTR is only 2% whereas DVP has the stock in the top 5
“undervalued” holdings with a current weighting of 8.85% thanks to the strong
price appreciation since the last rebalancing with another 7.17% currently in
Verizon and slightly less than 4% in AT&T giving the fund heavy exposure to
the telecommunications sector where the telecom iShares (IYZ) has
underperformed the S&P 500 by 200 bps annually over the last five years. Investors worried about buying into another
deep value cigarette-only portfolio, should take heart that consumer
discretionary names make up nearly a quarter of the fund where double digit
returns from Gamestop and Kohls have added some diversity to the returns
generated by the telecom positions.
The ultimate attraction of DVP for many investors may be in part the active management compared to other funds using a deep value methodology
like SDOG or the Elements Dogs of the Dow ETN (DOD.) The benchmark used by DVP is reconstituted
annually with the top 10 undervalued securities being held for a full year
while the ten smaller 4% positions are reconstituted and rebalanced
quarterly. Compare that to SDOG, which is reconstituted annually/rebalanced quarterly or DOD, which with only 10
positions has a substantially higher concentration risk and follows the classic
Dogs of the Dow theory, so only updates its holdings in December. While DVP does carry a higher expense ratio
than SDOG, .8% versus .4% (and is only slightly more expensive than DOD at .75%),
the potential value added by periodically “taking some chips off the table”
might be more than enough to cover the added expense.
Investors looking for a smarter way to invest along the
lines of many classic value strategies but with more liquidity than a mutual
fund or separate account might want to keep DVP on their watchlist.
Thank you for reading ETF Global Perspectives!
*Please note that ETFs are eligible for ETFG
Red Diamond Risk Ratings following 3 months of trading and ETFG Green
Diamond Reward Ratings following 12 months of trading.
This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale
of any security or other financial instrument. Securities, financial
instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors. Any opinions expressed herein are given in
good faith, are subject to change without notice, and are only correct as of
the stated date of their issue. Prices,
values, or income from any securities or investments mentioned in this report
may fall against the interests of the investor and the investor may get back
less than the amount invested. Where an
investment is described as being likely to yield income, please note that the
amount of income that the investor will receive from such an investment may
fluctuate. Where an investment or
security is denominated in a different currency to the investor's currency of
reference, changes in rates of exchange may have an adverse effect on the
value, price or income of or from that investment to the investor.
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