Monday, February 13, 2017

Milestones and Valentine's Day Testimony

It was another week for the record books as all three major U.S. indices hit record highs and the so called “Trump Rally” continued. Also announced this week, Vanguard continues to win with their low cost, passively managed index funds. The U.S. based money manager now tops $4 trillion in AUM.

This surge in assets comes with lofty projections for the ETF industry and rightfully so. Price Waterhouse Coopers released a research report projecting $1.1 trillion of assets pouring into the ETF Industry by 2018 and over $2 trillion more by the end of 2021. That would bring the fast growing industry to over $6 trillion in assets.

This week the PowerShares S&P SmallCap Consumer Staples Portfolio (PSCC) and the PowerShares Contrarian Opportunities Portfolio (CNTR) led the way in our ETFG Quant reward model. Both funds are currently sporting an “A” rating and have scores of 70.5 and 75.4 respectively.

In our Quant Movers, the Deutsche X-trackers MSCI EAFE Small Cap Hedged Equity ETF (DBES) and the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) had the highest total weekly change. They moved 14.44 and 11.82 respectively. DBES currently holds a “C” rating on our Quant score and VYM holds a “D.”

Within our Risk Ratings, Direxion has 4 of the top 5 riskiest funds this week according to the ETFG Red Diamond Risk Model. GASL, which is a triple levered, bullish on gas fund, lead the way with the highest risk score at 10. That was followed by GASX, another gas related fund, LBJ, a Latin American bull fund and ERX, an Energy bull fund. All of them are tripled levered which pulls down the structure score in our model - learn more here.

The coming week is sure to be a busy one led by Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen testifying before congress on Valentine’s Day. She will be delivering her semiannual monetary policy report before the U.S. Senate on Tuesday and will then make her way to the House of Representatives on Wednesday. This is the first time she will appear before lawmakers since the start of the Trump Administration and you can rest assured that the markets will be listening intently.

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