March 10, 2017
- Three weeks have elapsed in the Spring 2017 ETF Global Portfolio Challenge
and our student participants are already locked in a fierce competition. Let’s
take a look at some of our top performers thus far…
Spring 2017 ETF
Global Portfolio Challenge – Top 10 through 3/9/17
Name
|
School
|
Portfolio Return
|
Dan Dang
|
St. John Fisher College
|
19.99%
|
Catherine St. Clair
|
St. John Fisher College
|
17.91%
|
Edwins Lee
|
Rutgers University
|
16.54%
|
William Ryan
|
St. John Fisher College
|
15.53%
|
Ethan O’Donnell
|
St. John Fisher College
|
14.59%
|
Kolten Rossignoli
|
Wilfrid Laurier University
|
14.24%
|
Phat Huynh
|
St. John Fisher College
|
13.57%
|
Steven Barber
|
Rochester Institute of Technology
|
13.33%
|
Sam Vemisaje
|
Wilfrid Laurier University
|
13.28%
|
Kelsey Michener
|
St. John Fisher College
|
13.05%
|
As illustrated in the table above, our leaders have generated impressive returns within a three-week span. Notably, St. John Fisher College and Wilfrid Laurier University boast multiple students in the top ten - students from Rutgers University and RIT round out our top ten.
Looking under the hood of our leaders’ portfolios reveal
a common theme that has underpinned then; bearish bets on precious metals and oil
and long positions in natural gas products. Positions in ETPs such as Direxion
Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 3X Shares (JDST), ProShares UltraShort
Bloomberg Crude Oil (SCO), VelocityShares 3x Inverse Silver ETN (DSLV), and VelocityShares
3x Long Natural Gas ETN (UGAZ) were popular holdings amongst our leaders.
With an impending Federal Reserve rate hike, precious
metals, like gold and silver, have lost their appeal as safe haven assets and
suffered sharp price declines this week. Additionally, despite OPEC production
cuts, American shale producers continue to flood the market. Oil glut concerns
resurfaced this week, causing prices to tumble below $50 a barrel as U.S. stock
piles swelled to record levels. These developments allowed our leaders to
capitalize on their downward movements by contrarian bets in inverse ETPs. Conversely,
upward natural gas movements provided a boost to our leaders with long,
leveraged exposure to the sector.
While leverage allowed our leaders to generate outsized
returns this week, we must stress the inherent dangers of these products. Leveraged
ETFs are speculative investment funds that, through the use of derivatives,
attempt to deliver multiples of the performance of the index or benchmark they
track. Leverage amplifies losses just as it does gains. Leveraged ETFs reset
daily, meaning that they are designed to achieve their stated investment
objectives on a daily basis. This daily reset feature can cause an ETF's
returns over weeks or months to diverge wildly from that of the benchmark,
rendering these ETFs highly risky and inadvisable as long-term investment
vehicles.
The performance of Kolten Rossignoli, who is currently 6th
overall, illustrates that outperformance can be achieved through a well-constructed
portfolio that eschews the use of leverage. Kolten’s portfolio is equally
weighted, consisting of FDIS, SPY, VBK, and XLF - ETFs that have all benefited
from the prospects of fiscal stimulus and regulatory rollback under our new
administration.
As you consider re-positioning your portfolio before this week’s
rebalance date, we encourage you to review the risk and reward profile of your
portfolio, provided to you in your ETFG portfolio tearsheet. We also encourage
you to peruse our Select
List. Developed by the Research Policy Committee at ETF Global, the
ETFG ETF Select List features the 5 most highly-rated ETFs by Sector,
Geographic Region and Strategy as ranked by the ETFG Quant model.
If the first three weeks of the performance period is any
indication, the Spring 2017 ETF Global®
Portfolio Challenge will be deeply competitive and we look forward to
continue watching the competition unfold!
Thank you for reading ETF Global Perspectives!
_____________________________________________________________
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