Now onto the markets - the season of jolly proved to be a roller coaster week for investors as the markets rallied immediately after Christmas Day and ended the week up on the major indexes providing long needed relief. Investor sentiment, however, remains cautious as concerns persist ranging from quickly rising interest rates, increased questioning of confidence in the current administration as the exodus of senior White House Advisors continues, credit concerns and Brexit. Trade tensions and a growing sense of a global slowdown also weigh on investors.
US indexes ended the week in
positive territory - the S&P 500 closed at 2,485.74 and the broader NASDAQ
Composite closed at 6,584.52 for a weekly jump of 2.86% and 3.97 %. Nevertheless,
entering the last trading day of year, the indexes YTD were still down to a
negative 7.03% on the S&P 500 Index and a negative 4.62% on the NASDAQ
Composite.
Market volatility the past two
weeks has been accentuated by tax selling and low liquidity due to the holidays
and upcoming regulatory reviews on the major financial institutions to access
capital haircuts. In January we would
expect to see more liquidity reentering the markets thereby reducing the move
of markets on low volume. A number of
articles attracted our attention this week showing a marked change in the
market’s paradigm to an over abundance of caution.
First, we noted Mohamed El-Erian’s
December 30th article in Bloomberg
which sited the pullback of banks in market-making activities this month
due to regulatory reviews and how market volatility could have the effect of accentuating
any global economic slowdown. See his
comments at:
Second, we noted a “rant” by
Jeremiah Johnson on ZeroHedge titled
The Calm Before the Storm. What struck us was his list of investor
concerns and tone of the article which was reminiscent of Rick Santelli’s rant
on CNBC on government bailouts which proved to be the firing shot to mobilize
the popular Tea Party. This article can
be found at:
Now let’s look at our ETFG Weekly Select List
To best support the ETF selection
process, The ETFG Weekly Select List highlights the 5 most highly rated ETFs
per Sector, Geographic Region and Strategy as ranked by the ETFG Quant model. We highlight a couple of ETFs that attracted
our attention.
The extreme volatility the past
two weeks makes us cautious but we these funds had significant jumps: SPHD went jumped 4 ratings to 1
for those looking for a high dividend play. Likewise, ITEQ, a Middle East play
jumped 3 ratings to 2 as did NFRA, a natural resources play. It jumped 4 no doubt as a play on the beaten-up
oil and natural resources sectors.
We suggest keeping a mindful eye
on tools like our Select List and Risk and Reward Ratings that can be used to
evaluate the vast set of opportunities in the ETF marketplace. Today’s market
realities require a new approach to macro investing, one in which individual
investors now have access to tools via ETPs to customize risk and return
profiles in their portfolios. Use our Scanner to find those funds.
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