Tuesday, October 2, 2012
Two new members of the top 10 today confirm
Quant’s recent message of aversion to the US dollar. The iShares Goldman Sachs Natural Resources Index Fund (IGE) gained 60
positions into 5th place and tied with it at that position is the SPDR
Energy Select Sector Fund (XLE), gaining 6 positions to reenter the group it
has been hanging around for a while now.
IGE is coded as having a “Theme” focus but if it was coded as a Basic Materials
fund it would be the 6th out of 33 in that sector represented on the
ETFG 100 list. As it is, Basic Materials
is the third most represented sector on that list and has the distinction of
holding the number 1 rank with GDX, the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF. Energy is Quant’s favorite sector with 9 out
of 34 funds in the top 100, 2 of them in the top 10. Technology is considered an inflation hedge
as companies spend in that area to increase productivity to counter rising input
costs. It is Quant’s third favorite
sector today with 8 out of 34 funds on the ETFG 100. It’s best scoring fund today is the SPDR Technology
Select Sector Fund (XLK) in 15th place. Health Care with 25 funds and Industrials with 23 both have 4 in the top 100. Out
of 38 funds devoted to the Financial sector, only 1 made the ETFG 100 today, the PowerShares
KBW Insurance Portfolio (KBWI) in 90th place. Consumer Staples should outperform if we are
entering another recession, but Quant doesn't think that’s going to happen
ranking only 1 out of 13 funds in the top 100.
Filling out the ten equity sectors, there are 25 Consumer Discretionary
funds, 13 Utility funds and 8 Telecommunications funds, but none made the double
digit ranks. Quant’s message suggests
the economy is going to continue to trudge along but inflation is likely to reemerge.
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