Woe is the algorithm trying to beat the world leading S&P 500
in 2013. Quant doesn't feel pain though,
it just calculates which equity ETFs have the characteristics common to funds
that outperform the rest. Today it has
set its sights on 4 smart beta funds in or near the top 10. The 6th place Powershares Buyback
Achievers Fund (PKW) is
new to the top ranks but their 7th place Powershares XTF: Dynamic
Market Portfolio (PWC) is familiar,
as are the 10th and 11th place Powershares XTF: Dynamic
OTC Portfolio (PWO) and the
Powershares Dynamic MagniQuant Fund (PIQ).
All four represent the burgeoning smart beta category where the portfolio
changes periodically and all four are beating the S&P 500 year to date. The newly elite PKW buys US companies that
have repurchased at least 5% of their outstanding shares for the trailing
twelve months. It is unlike the others in
that its portfolio is reconstituted annually with quarterly rebalancing. The other three have quarterly reconstitutions
that select companies from their respective markets that show superior risk
reward characteristics. Quant agrees
with their model today giving all four more than 9 Green Reward Diamonds with
less than 4 Red Risk Diamonds, PWO is today’s sole ETFGsm 10 Green Diamond fund.
Since they are all ahead of the market YTD, it is not surprising to see their
strong technical scores combined with middling sentiment scores. Not many investors want to stand in front of
moving trains in this market so short interest and put activity are low for the
group which helps explain their also low implied volatility. What is surprising is that funds that have
performed so well are still trading so inexpensively, all four have very strong
Fundamental Scores near 90.
As our competitors debate the active vs. passive issue, smart beta
is stealing the show. Fear not the new,
these funds are not as complex as their names suggests and with the help of
ETFGsm you can see everything the funds hold, simple equities with no
derivatives or swaps. That’s a much more
transparent box than your typical open end mutual fund. So when your clients want to beat the world
leading S&P 500 where can you turn?
Quant says these smart beta funds will get the job done over the next
few months.
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